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Tuesday, October 10, 2017

Cocke County population expected to decline
While the population in Tennessee’s metropolitan counties is expected to continue to grow, many rural counties are expected to see decreases over the coming decades, according to new projections released Friday, by the UT Boyd Center for Business and Economic Research. The new projections estimate that by 2040, Tennessee’s population is expected to grow to 7.8 million people, with expected growth of about 50,000 people per year. Natural population growth—the combined effects of births and deaths—in the state has fallen sharply because of increased deaths and decreased births. In 2007, Tennessee’s population grew by almost 30,000 because of births and deaths alone. In 2015, the natural change was only 15,000, with two-thirds of that decrease coming from increases in deaths rather than decreases in births. The decrease in natural growth was not distributed evenly across the state, but was concentrated in nonurban counties. The study found that Cocke County had a population of 35,219 in 2016, but by 2070 the population will be down to 30,575.


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